📊 Foreign Exchange Reserves – FY25 Highlights

  • State Bank of Pakistan (SBP) reserves stood at $14.51 billion by June 30, 2025, up from $9.39 billion a year earlier — marking a $5.12 billion increase (54.5%).

  • SBP attributed the growth to:

    • Improved current account balance

    • Realisation of planned inflows such as commercial loans and multilateral support

  • Despite gains, reserves fluctuated throughout the year due to:

    • External debt repayments

    • Scheduled inflows and outflows

  • June 20, 2025 snapshot:

    • Total liquid reserves: $14.40 billion

    • SBP’s share: $9.06 billion

    • Commercial banks: $5.33 billion

  • Sharp drop in reserves by $2.66 billion in late June due to debt repayments.

  • Recovered in the final week of June with:

    • $3.1 billion in government commercial loans

    • $500 million+ from multilateral agencies


🪙 Gold Price Movements

  • 24-karat gold per tola dropped Rs600 on Wednesday, settling at Rs356,200.

  • 10-gram gold decreased Rs514 to Rs305,384.

  • This followed a Rs6,600 per tola surge on Tuesday.

  • Analyst Adnan Agar noted:

    • Gold is trading in a tight range: $3,351–$3,327, currently around $3,340.

    • Upcoming US jobs data is key for gold’s next move:

      • If bullish: price may test $3,400

      • If weak: could drop to $3,300 or below

    • US bank holidays expected to reduce liquidity this week.


💱 Currency & Liquidity Updates

  • Pakistani Rupee depreciated by 19 paisa, closing at Rs283.95/$ in inter-bank trade (down from Rs283.76).

  • Represents a 0.07% drop in value.

  • SBP liquidity injection via Open Market Operations (OMOs):

    • Total: Rs1.163 trillion

      • Conventional OMO: Rs805.15 billion

      • Shariah-compliant OMO (Mudarabah): Rs358 billion


Summary:
Pakistan’s forex position strengthened in FY25 due to strategic inflows, though short-term volatility persisted. Meanwhile, gold prices corrected slightly after a surge, and the rupee saw minor depreciation. Liquidity support by the SBP signals continued efforts to stabilize financial markets.